Age-Related Differences in the Accuracy of Web Query-Based Predictions of Influenza-Like Illness

BackgroundWeb queries are now widely used for modeling, nowcasting and forecasting influenza-like illness (ILI). However, given that ILI attack rates vary significantly across ages, in terms of both magnitude and timing, little is known about whether the association between ILI morbidity and ILI-related queries is comparable across different age-groups. The present study aimed to investigate features of the association between ILI morbidity and ILI-related query volume from the perspective of age.MethodsSince Google Flu Trends is unavailable in Italy, Google Trends was used to identify entry terms that correlated highly with official ILI surveillance data. All-age and age-class-specific modeling was performed by means of linear models with generalized least-square estimation. Hold-out validation was used to quantify prediction accuracy. For purposes of comparison, predictions generated by exponential smoothing were computed.ResultsFive search terms showed high correlation coefficients of > .6. In comparison with exponential smoothing, the all-age query-based model correctly predicted the peak time and yielded a higher correlation coefficient with observed ILI morbidity (.978 vs. .929). However, query-based prediction of ILI morbidity was associated with a greater error. Age-class-specific query-based models varied significantly in terms of prediction accuracy. In the 0–4 and 25–44-year age-groups, these did well and outperformed exponential smoothing predictions; in the 15–24 and ≥ 65-year age-classes, however, the query-based models were inaccurate and highly overestimated peak height. In all but one age-class, peak timing predicted by the query-based models coincided with observed timing.ConclusionsThe accuracy of web query-based models in predicting ILI morbidity rates could differ among ages. Greater age-specific detail may be useful in flu query-based studies in order to account for age-specific features of the epidemiology of ILI.     

Cerebral Circulation Time is Prolonged and Not Correlated with EDSS in Multiple Sclerosis Patients: A Study Using Digital Subtracted Angiography

Literature has suggested that changes in brain flow circulation occur in patients with multiple sclerosis. In this study, digital subtraction angiography (DSA) was used to measure the absolute CCT value in MS patients and to correlate its value to age at disease onset and duration, and to expand disability status scale (EDSS). DSA assessment was performed on eighty MS patients and on a control group of forty-four age-matched patients. CCT in MS and control groups was calculated by analyzing the angiographic images. Lesion and brain volumes were calculated in a representative group of MS patients. Statistical correlations among CCT and disease duration, age at disease onset, lesion load, brain volumes and EDSS were considered. A significant difference between CCT in MS patients (mean = 4.9s; sd = 1.27s) and control group (mean = 2.8s; sd = 0.51s) was demonstrated. No significant statistical correlation was found between CCT and the other parameters in all MS patients. Significantly increased CCT value in MS patients suggests the presence of microvascular dysfunctions, which do not depend on clinical and MRI findings. Hemodynamic changes may not be exclusively the result of a late chronic inflammatory process.     

Identification and characterization of a novel salt‐tolerant esterase from a Tibetan glacier metagenomic library

A salt‐tolerant esterase, designated H9Est, was identified from a metagenomic library of the Karuola glacier. H9Est gene comprised 1071 bp and encoded a polypeptide of 357 amino acids with a molecular mass of 40 kDa. Sequence analysis revealed that H9Est belonged to the family IV of bacterial lypolitic enzyme. H9Est was overexpressed in Escherichia coli and the purified enzyme showed hydrolytic activity towards p‐nitrophenyl esters with carbon chain from 2 to 8. The optimal esterase activity was at 40°C and pH 8.0 and the enzyme retained its activity towards some miscible organic solvents such as polyethylene glycol. A three‐dimensional model of H9Est revealed that S200, D294, and H324 formed the H9Est catalytic triad. Circular Dichroism spectra and molecular dynamic simulation indicated that the esterase had a wide denaturation temperature range and flexible loops that would be beneficial for H9Est performance at low temperatures while retaining heat‐resistant features. © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Biotechnol. Prog., 31:890–899, 2015     

Irreversible gelation of thermally unfolded proteins: structural and mechanical properties of lysozyme aggregates

The formation of protein aggregates is important in many fields of life science and technology. The morphological and mechanical properties of protein solutions depend upon the molecular conformation and thermodynamic and environmental conditions. Non-native or unfolded proteins may be kinetically trapped into irreversible aggregates and undergo precipitation or gelation. Here, we study the thermal aggregation of lysozyme in neutral solutions. We characterise the irreversible unfolding of lysozyme by differential scanning calorimetry. The structural properties of aggregates and their mechanisms of formation with the eventual gelation are studied at high temperature by spectroscopic, rheological and scattering techniques. The experiments show that irreversible micron-sized aggregates are organised into larger clusters according to a classical mechanism of diffusion and coagulation, which leads to a percolative transition at high concentrations. At a smaller length scale, optical and atomic force microscopy images reveal the existence of compact aggregates, which are the origin of the aggregation irreversibility.     

Evolutionary and Functional Analysis of Celiac Risk Loci Reveals SH2B3 as a Protective Factor against Bacterial Infection

Celiac disease (CD) is an intolerance to dietary proteins of wheat, barley, and rye. CD may have substantial morbidity, yet it is quite common with a prevalence of 1%–2% in Western populations. It is not clear why the CD phenotype is so prevalent despite its negative effects on human health, especially because appropriate treatment in the form of a gluten-free diet has only been available since the 1950s, when dietary gluten was discovered to be the triggering factor. The high prevalence of CD might suggest that genes underlying this disease may have been favored by the process of natural selection. We assessed signatures of selection for ten confirmed CD-associated loci in several genome-wide data sets, comprising 8154 controls from four European populations and 195 individuals from a North African population, by studying haplotype lengths via the integrated haplotype score (iHS) method. Consistent signs of positive selection for CD-associated derived alleles were observed in three loci: IL12A, IL18RAP, and SH2B3. For the SH2B3 risk allele, we also show a difference in allele frequency distribution (F_st) between HapMap phase II populations. Functional investigation of the effect of the SH2B3 genotype in response to lipopolysaccharide and muramyl dipeptide revealed that carriers of the SH2B3 rs3184504^∗A risk allele showed stronger activation of the NOD2 recognition pathway. This suggests that SH2B3 plays a role in protection against bacteria infection, and it provides a possible explanation for the selective sweep on SH2B3, which occurred sometime between 1200 and 1700 years ago.     

Isolation of an <Emphasis Type="Italic">Escherichia coli</Emphasis> K4 <Emphasis Type="Italic">kfoC</Emphasis> mutant over-producing capsular chondroitin

Background  

Chondroitin sulphate is a complex polysaccharide having important structural and protective functions in animal tissues. Extracted from animals, this compound is used as a human anti-inflammatory drug. Among bacteria, Escherichia coli K4 produces a capsule containing a non-sulphate chondroitin and its development may provide an efficient and cheap fermentative production of the polysaccharide.     

Perturbation of cytochrome P450, generation of oxidative stress and induction of DNA damage in Cyprinus carpio exposed in situ to potable surface water

Epidemiological evidence suggests a link between consumption of chlorinated drinking water and various cancers. Chlorination of water rich in organic chemicals produces carcinogenic organochlorine by-products (OBPs) such as trihalomethanes and haloacetic acids. Since the discovery of the first OBP in the 1970s, there have been several investigations designed to determine the biological effects of single chemicals or small artificial OBP combinations. However, there is still insufficient information regarding the general biological response to these compounds, and further studies are still needed to evaluate their potential genotoxic effects. In the current study, we evaluated the effect of three drinking water disinfectants on the activity of cytochrome P450 (CYP)-linked metabolizing enzymes and on the generation of oxidative stress in the livers of male and female Cyprinus carpio fish (carp). The fish were exposed in situ for up 20 days to surface water obtained from the Trasmene lake in Italy. The water was treated with 1-2 mg/L of either sodium hypochlorite (NaClO) or chlorine dioxide (ClO2) as traditional disinfectants or with a relatively new disinfectant product, peracetic acid (PAA). Micronucleus (MN) frequencies in circulating erythrocytes from the fish were also analysed as a biomarker of genotoxic effect. In the CYP-linked enzyme assays, a significant induction (up to a 57-fold increase in the deethylation of ethoxyresorufin with PAA treatment) and a notable inactivation (up to almost a 90% loss in hydroxylation of p-nitrophenol with all disinfectants, and of testosterone 2beta-hydroxylation with NaClO) was observed in subcellular liver preparations from exposed fish. Using the electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) spectroscopy radical-probe technique, we also observed that CYP-modulation was associated with the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS). In addition, we found a significant increase in MN frequency in circulating erythrocytes after 10 days of exposure of fish to water treated with ClO2, while a non-significant six-fold increase in MN frequency was observed with NaClO, but not with PAA. Our data suggest that the use of ClO2 and NaClO to disinfect drinking water could generate harmful OBP mixtures that are able to perturb CYP-mediated reactions, generate oxidative stress and induce genetic damage. These data may provide a mechanistic explanation for epidemiological studies linking consumption of chlorinated drinking water to increased risk of urinary, gastrointestinal and bladder cancers.     

Effects of TGF-beta and glucocorticoids on map kinase phosphorylation, IL-6/IL-11 secretion and cell proliferation in primary cultures of human lung fibroblasts

Transforming growth factor-beta1 (TGF-beta1) is crucially involved in the fibrotic events characterizing interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), as well as in the airway remodeling process typical of asthma. Within such a context, the aim of our study was to investigate, in primary cultures of normal and fibrotic human lung fibroblasts (HLFs), the effects of TGF-beta1 on mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) phosphorylation, cell proliferation, and production of interleukins 6 (IL-6) and 11 (IL-11), in the presence or absence of a pretreatment with budesonide (BUD). MAPK phosphorylation was detected by Western blotting, cell viability and proliferation were evaluated using Trypan blue staining and [(3)H]-thymidine incorporation assay, respectively, and the release of IL-6 and IL-11 into cell culture supernatants was assessed by ELISA. TGF-beta1 (10 ng/ml) significantly stimulated MAPK phosphorylation (P < 0.01), and also enhanced cell proliferation as well as the secretion of both IL-6 and IL-11, which reached the highest increases at the 72nd h of cell exposure to this growth factor. All such effects were prevented by BUD (10(-8) M) and, with the exception of IL-6 release, also by a mixture of MAPK inhibitors. Therefore, our findings suggest that the fibrotic action exerted by TGF-beta1 in the lung is mediated at least in part by MAPK activation and by an increased synthesis of the profibrogenic cytokines IL-6 and IL-11; all these effects appear to be prevented by corticosteroids via inhibition of MAPK phosphorylation.     

Two different pathways are involved in peroxynitrite-induced senescence and apoptosis of human erythrocytes

CO(2) changes the biochemistry of peroxynitrite basically in two ways: (i) nitrating species is the CO(3)(-) / ()NO(2) radical pair, and (ii) peroxynitrite diffusion distance is significantly reduced. For peroxynitrite generated extracellularly this last effect is particularly dramatic at low cell density because CO(3)(-) and ()NO(2) are short-lived and decay mostly in the extracellular space or at the cell surface/membrane. This study was aimed to distinguish between peroxynitrite-induced extra- and intracellular modifications of red blood cells (RBC). Our results show that at low cell density and in the presence of CO(2) peroxynitrite induced the oxidation of surface thiols, the formation of 3-nitrotyrosine and DMPO-RBC adducts, and the down-regulation of glycophorins A and C (biomarkers of senescence). Reactivation of glycolysis reversed only the oxidation of surface thiols. Without CO(2) peroxynitrite also induced the oxidation of hemoglobin and glutathione, the accumulation of lactate, a decrease in ATP, the clustering of band 3, the externalization of phosphatidylserine, and the activation of caspases 8 and 3 (biomarkers of apoptosis). The latter biomarkers were all reversed by reactivation of glycolysis. We hypothesize that cell senescence could (generally) be derived by irreversible radical-mediated oxidation of membrane targets, while the appearance of apoptotic biomarkers could be bolstered by oxidation of intracellular targets. These results suggest that, depending on extracellular homolysis or diffusion to the intracellular space, peroxynitrite prompts RBCs toward either senescence or apoptosis through different oxidation mechanisms.